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Black Dog

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Posts posted by Black Dog

  1. 40 minutes ago, brad1 said:

    The problem I am having with this is that I do not need the money. I am a school teacher, and my pay is still coming in.

     

    Yeah, they could have targeted it to just people who had lost their jobs.   But, technically, those people have the PPP or unemployment in addition to the $1200.   Obviously, the idea was to just pump a bunch of money into the economy.  Won't help me, I won't get any of it but that's OK, I don't need it.   Hopefully, people will be getting back to work soon.

  2. 3 hours ago, Murph said:

    It mostly kills older people with preexisting conditions. THEY should be staying home and isolating.

    Everybody else should go back to work.

     

    Thank you very much!  Basic principle in infectious disease control.  You quarantine the sick not the well.   Where did these people go to school?

    • Like 1
  3. 35 minutes ago, Mr. Gibson said:

    I agree,we had very sick people here in December and January that had the same symptoms, myself included. Took me 6 weeks before I felt normal again. Never been so sick in my life.

     

    Up until we recognized Covid-19, we just thought is was a slightly worse than normal Flu season.  Turns out it was probably Covid-19.  That's because overall it causes only mild illness.   It's more difficult to recognize a pattern of atypical illness like this in the middle of the cold/Flu season with so much other background illness going on.

    Of course, it would have helped if the Chinese Government and the WHO had not lied to the world about it...

    • Like 1
  4. Now they're saying there is evidence the virus has been circulating in the US since at least early December, at least 7 weeks before the first case was diagnosed in the US.  

    And here we are forbidding people from attending their loved ones funerals because we're worried about spreading the virus.  IT'S ALREADY SPREAD!!!

    We've shut down the entire country, put tens of millions of people out of work, devastated our health care system, wasted trillions of taxpayers dollars chasing a virus that's been ten steps ahead of us all along.  

    Nearly half of all deaths in the US are in one state, New York and nearly one third of all deaths are in one city, NYC.  Most states are measuring their deaths in tens and hundreds.  Nearly nothing.  

    What a boondoggle.

    • Like 1
  5. 1 hour ago, Cougar said:

    I don't think there'll be any such judgment. 

     

    After what  I've had to put up with in my life, something or someone's gonna judge me at the end?  Whatever.  I may have a few words for them too...

    • Haha 2
  6. I have all sorts of thoughts about it but I just hope I don't suffer too much, but I probably won't be that lucky. 

    My main thought is that I hope everyone I leave behind will be OK.

  7. 2 hours ago, SmokeyGhost said:

    The data is linear.  Logarithmic indicates the infection and death rates are still upwards.

     

    My logarithmic skills are a bit rusty so maybe I'm wrong but I thought that viewing data logarithmically can show rates of change differently, but it can't reverse rates of change from positive to negative or vice versa. 

    • Like 1
  8. If you want to see what is going on in NYC, their health Dept has a good site.   If you scroll down and look at the "Daily Counts" graph you can see that things look like they're improving.  At the top of the graph there are tabs to view total cases, hospitalizations and deaths.  There is a lag for the last 24-48 hrs so that data may not be complete but you can still see the trends.   Also, the decline in deaths will lag behind the drop in new cases by a bit, probably 1-2 weeks.

    https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page

    • Like 2
  9. 14 minutes ago, zigzag said:

    ... I'm not really sure where I come down on the issues of economics versus health concerns. The reality is that a pandemic is a devastating event where there are no good options.

     

    Both have to be weighed.   It's easy to say the virus is deadly so it must be stopped at any cost.  Well, obviously, it's the "all cost" part that you have to worry about.  Will widespread shutdown help slow the spread?  Yes, of course.   But that will cost many lives too.  Poverty kills, and not mercifully.

    This pandemic has been dramatized and politicized and that's driving actions that are probably doing more harm than good.   It's the Katrina effect.  Ever since that event government officials have been so fearful of the coverage and politicization of their actions that they go way overboard on everything lest they be blamed for every life lost, as if they killed the people with their own hands.   That's usually OK for smaller scale and short duration events like a hurricane, but with something like this that effects an entire country or the entire globe, that's different.

    Italy now has around 15,000 dead.  In an average Flu season they have 23,000 dead over a 6 month period.  It's not over yet,  but the numbers are falling so they'll probably end up in the ballpark of an average flu season.   What's the difference?

    Neil Ferguson initially predicted 2.2 million deaths in the US.  Then he started backing off on that.  Now they are saying 100-200 thousand in the US.  It's not going to be anywhere near that.  I'll say maybe 30,000.

    • Thanks 1
  10. On 4/4/2020 at 1:03 AM, MissouriPicker said:

    I see the positive in some things.   Lots of people finally realize that they don’t need celebrities.  They need the working-class guy/gal.  It’s great to have family time, although for a lot of parents the situation makes it very stressful.   They enjoy being home, but the worry about their jobs can be overwhelming. I think people have come-together, although there are still plenty of buttholes.  I believe there is a human brotherhood in which we realize we’re all in this together.  However, once this is over with, things will return to the way they were.  Just look at our politics.  This catastrophe hasn’t changed anything.  Besides the elites who control everything are not doing without and coming-together like the rest of us.   They feed the hatred to the media, which they control.   And they don’t stand in long lines or wonder if they’ll be able to pay the rent.  They don’t risk being a victim of crime as the rest of us do.  Perhaps you and I are in this together, but they are not “you and I.”  .... And I’m not crying about someone who has more than me——my wife and I are in okay shape.  We can ride this out, but if the bottom falls-out of our economy, the society won’t be far behind and the people who still have to work to survive are going to be in horrible shape....and they’re the ones that keep our society fueled and running.  People say “we’ll come out of this stronger.”  Maybe after we fully recover 25-30 years down the road.  Until then, we’re going to suffer.  I just don’t see a lot of good that will come out of this.  Brotherly Love is a nice thing to strive for, but you know as well as I do that it’s a dream and what we’re in is reality.   ..Thank God (if there is one) for technology.  At least we can see and talk to our grandkids, etc.  Technology is what makes it possible to still function.  But, what do we do if the internet goes out?  Are we truly capable of surviving if all of our logistics and communications are brought to a halt?  Look how we communicate here!  Practically everything we now do in our lives is in one way or another linked to the internet.  .....What really scares me is how quickly this happened.  In two days,  they had literally total control of our lives: where we can go, what we can do.  And it’s been done all the way around the world.  And they didn’t need an army.  This came “out of the blue” and brought the world to its knees almost immediately and it’s mortality rate is shrinking each day.  Yes, it’s serious, but i just don’t see millions upon millions dying.  .........Anyway, I’ve at least written a couple of songs.  Can’t wait to get back to some kind of “normal.”  Can’t wait to start playing my gigs again.  That will mean I’m seeing all the family again.  ....Meanwhile, let’s hope the internet stays-up.  Most of us might be too old to re-learn how to write letters again.👍👍

     

    A-freekin'n-men

  11. On my way in to work this morning I heard that one of our regional hospital systems isn't going to be able to make payroll.  There are going to be many more to come.   All health care delivery systems in the US are being hit very hard by this financially and many, if not most, do not have the financial resources to ride this out.  These systems are largely funded by all these elective procedures that have now been cancelled.   This is all very bad.

  12. Previous posts aside, anyone who thinks this evolving economic catastrophe is better than the Covid virus should read up on the effects of poverty, misery and death associated with economic recessions.  The data is out there and it's real.  We now have 10 million newly unemployed in the US and climbing fast.  The good news is that I think we are at or very near peak here and then things should start to improve quickly.  I hope.

    https://www.ccn.com/chillingly-scariest-coronavirus-death-toll-may-not-come-from-covid-19/

    • Thanks 1
  13. 4 hours ago, LordOrange said:

    I want to know if anyone here has a Gibson with the finish 'worn out' on the neck, and also how long it took to achieve that?

     

    This would depend on many different variables.  There's no way to give an answer.  

    If you wear one of these when you play, it will definitely go faster:

     

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